Sports

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes15.5%

No84.5%

UTC

Yes

Vol.: 40,177,100

15.5%+1%

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15.5%Yes 0.15+1%

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Vol.: 40,177,100

84.5%-1%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Settlement data source: Polymarket

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